Using only reliable reports in the media (mostly information from the Pamir Times) and those from NDMA, the following graph shows the reported flow through the spillway at Attabad. There is a huge caveat here regarding the reliability of the reports. However, the most recent figure is the NDMA reported value. Times are local to Pakistan (UT +5 hours)
It is clear that flow is now increasing quite rapidly. However, do not be panicked by this - it is as we would expect and does not indicate anything in particular at this stage. Meanwhile of course the water level in the lake is still rising at about 2.5 cm per hour, which will be increasing the impact on the upstream communities. We must not forget them is this crisis.
If you live in the Hunza and Indus valleys, please do not rely upon this blog to provide warnings and up to date information.
The updates have kept me informed through out the crisis times and it has helped me in presenting a proper scenario to my friends here in Lahore, Pakistan.
ReplyDeleteOur people in Gojal are suffering and are still in the state of dismay. The overflow has brought a little sigh of relief but it continues to keep us more concerned now about our people living downstream. We hope things go well.